No recession ahead: Evercore ISI predicts S&P 500 will jump 22% from current levels

Finance

While retail investors head for the exits as stock prices sharply fluctuate, Evercore ISI’s Julian Emanuel wants to put money to work.

He calls the market environment very ugly, but he believes the economy will avert a recession — particularly due to healthy credit markets and continued gains.

“The path to higher [stock] prices really is a function of being able to discount the macro news and focus on the fact that you’re still going to have mid-to-high, single-digit earnings growth,” the firm’s senior managing director told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Tuesday.

His S&P 500 year-end target is 4,800, which implies a 22% jump from the Tuesday market close. Emanuel contends much of the market losses were driven by retail investors who were overexposed to growth stocks, namely in Big Tech.

“The bull case rests on essentially a drying up of the public selling of these stocks,” he said.

According to Emanuel, retail investors will return to stocks when they figure out employment remains strong and inflation is peaking. He expects that to happen later this summer.

“When things turn down, that will be a more benign environment for the equity markets,” said Emanuel.

His forecast also hinges on the benchmark 10-year Treasury Note yield cooling and ending the year at 3%. On Tuesday, the yield fell to its lowest level in more than a month.

Emanuel is most bullish on health care and sees solid upside for long-term investors. He’s also overweight in financials and industrials.

“The shift from growth to value is something that’s ongoing,” Emanuel said.

Disclaimer

Articles You May Like

Women experience a ‘motherhood penalty.’ For dads, there’s a wage ‘bonus’
Huawei’s profit doubled in 2023 as smartphone, autos business picked up
The UK is regulating memes about crypto and other investments to curb scams from ‘finfluencers’
Did You Know? Medicare Does Not Cover A Physical Exam
Study Uncovers Opportunities For Using Housing Wealth In Retirement

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *