AARP And Suze Orman Are Wrong: $500K Is Plenty To Retire.

Retirement

How much do you need to save to retire comfortably? Not as much if you think if you buy the right monthly dividend payers.

How you invest your retirement portfolio is more important than how much you have. Especially today, with “dumb” retirement money collecting just 1% in safe bonds.

That 1% won’t even get it done if you save the $1.7 million most Americans believe they need. (And don’t worry, they are wrong anyway. You don’t need nearly that much money to retire on dividends alone.)

Financial experts are incorrect, too. Here is more advice based on, well, not knowing which dividends to buy in retirement:

  • The AARP says you’ll need $1.18 million to generate $40,000 a year.
  • A recent Business Insider look at retirement says that if you want to live on about $65,000 in dividends, you’re looking at a $3.8 million nest egg.
  • And financial “guru” Suze Orman dropped jaws by declaring: “You need at least $5 million, or $6 million. Really, you might need $10 million.”

The truth is, most of these estimates involve a combination of fixed-income investments (no growth!) and tired blue-chip stocks (little growth and insufficient yield!). In reality, as long as you’re in the right kind of dividend stock, you can retire on half of what the conventional wisdom says you need.

But what’s the “right kind of dividend stock”?

Yes, you want a high headline dividend yield. That’s what most “first-level” investors look at. The mistake they make is never looking past yield, and toward other important factors.

You need a healthy dividend that’s primed for growth. And you need actual business growth, too. Your nest egg needs to grow in retirement to offset the occasional big-ticket emergency that could claw away at your income-producing potential.

A monthly payout is pretty helpful, too.

I don’t know about you, but my electric utility and wireless provider don’t send bills every quarter. They come each and every month, whether I want them to or not. But most of the blue chips that traditional retirement investors would have you pile into typically only dole out income each time the season changes.

I prefer a reliable stream of monthly income, which you can get from monthly dividend stocks and funds.

This isn’t just a convenience play. Monthly dividend stocks can put up some serious outperformance once you factor in their often Street-clobbering payouts.

But not all monthly payers are built the same. Stocks that distribute cash every 30 days or so are nice, but not if they don’t check off our other checkboxes. So which monthly dividend payers do make the grade?

Invesco Preferred ETF (PGX)

Dividend Yield: 5.3%

Let’s start with preferred stocks, which are an undercovered but fantastic source of regular dividend income.

If you haven’t come across preferred stocks before, think of them as a blend of common stocks and bonds. Companies typically offer these as a way to raise capital, and they like common stock, they represent ownership in the underlying business. They even pay dividends like common stock.

But those dividends are fixed, like bonds, and preferred stocks also tend to trade around their par value, again like bonds. So most of your upside is coming in the form of substantial income payments.

Invesco Preferred ETF (PGX) is one of several exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that allow you to easily and cheaply invest in a basket of preferred stocks. PGX charges just 0.52% annually for access to a wide array of 281 preferred holdings, primarily from financial companies such as Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC) and PNC Financial Services (PNC), though it carries utility, real estate and other sectors’ preferreds, too.

The upside? You’re getting a 5%-plus annual yield, with dividends paid monthly, without having to research all these individual issues.

That said, preferred index ETFs like PGX have a common weakness: Their indexes can’t account for credit risk the way an expert manager can. That’s why I typically suggest which is why I typically suggest getting your preferred exposure from actively managed closed-end funds (CEFs).

Pimco Corporate & Opportunity Fund (PTY)

Dividend Yield: 8.7%

Speaking of closed-end funds, let’s move on to Pimco Corporate & Opportunity Fund (PTY).

Corporate & Opportunity is a straight-up diversified bond fund managed by one of the best in the fixed-income biz. Pimco, which has amassed $1.84 trillion under management, boasts more than 260 fixed-income mutual funds, ETFs and CEFs.

Managers Alfred Murata and Mohit Mittal typically will invest at least a quarter of the fund in corporate debt, with the rest spread across a wide array of other income-producing securities.

For instance, at the moment, roughly a third of the fund is in corporate debt (24% high-yield, 7% investment-grade), another 31% is in mortgage-backed securities, and another 22% is split between developed-market and emerging-market sovereign debt. Munis and U.S. government bonds are among PTY’s other debt sprinklings.

Management earns its fees, too. Pimco Corporate & Opportunity has made an absolute mockery out of indexed funds like the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) over the years.

However, 2019’s red-hot run for bonds has left PTY with one massive strike against it: a big, fat premium. This Pimco CEF trades at a 27% premium to its net asset value right now, which means you’re essentially paying $1.27 for every dollar in bonds. In truth, this fund almost always trades at a premium, but right now PTY trades at more than double its five-year average!

I’ll tell you what I told Wall Street Journal’s Nick Ravo: “Never buy a CEF trading at a premium.”

Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE)

Dividend Yield: 7.5%

Let’s move on to real estate investment trusts (REITs), which is where you’ll find a batch of monthly dividend payers.

Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) is one of America’s largest hotel REITs. Its portfolio currently includes 234 hotels – 125 under the Hilton (HLT) brand, 108 under Marriott (MAR) and a lone Hyatt (H) hotel – across 34 states.

Apple Hospitality is what’s referred to as “rooms-focused” or “select-service,” which is a middle ground between “limited-service” and “full-service.” To put that in normal speak, these hotels might have a restaurant, but its offerings will be limited. They might have a computer for guest use, but not a full-blown business facility or conference rooms. They’ll look nice, and they’ll be comfortable … but resorts, they are not.

Apple pays a very healthy yield of more than 7% via a dozen monthly 10-cent distributions. And that cash is conservatively managed, with dividends accounting for just 70% of funds from operations (FFO, an important metric of profitability for REITs). That payout hasn’t budged since its 2015 IPO, however.

But what worries me about APLE – and other hotel REITs, for that matter – is the recession risk. Apple Hospitality’s properties are among the most vulnerable to any slowdown or about-face in American economic growth, and that’s a very real concern, especially so late in what is the longest economic expansion in our country’s history.

In short: Apple doesn’t make the grade, either.

Brett Owens is chief investment strategist for Contrarian Outlook. For more great income ideas, click here for his latest report How To Live Off $500,000 Forever: 9 Diversified Plays For 7%+ Income.

Disclosure: none

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