As Americans get older we can count on two things: more Americans will be cognitively impaired and losses to financial fraud will increase.
According to a new Federal Trade Commission report, the average loss due to financial fraud to people over 80 is the highest of any loss due to financial fraud of any other age group. The median fraud to people over age 80 is $1300 and the incidence of fraud is 18%. Younger people report much higher incidences of financial fraud, 44% of 20 to 29 year old’s report some financial fraud and their median loss is $324. The FTC reports the financial fraud by age but does not focus on the elderly losses.
Somebody should.
REVISITING THE FAILED MARRIAGE OF THE U.S. RETIRMENT SYSTEM AND COGNITIVE DECLINE
In January 2017 researchers in Dr. Alicia Munnell’s Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, Anek Belbase and Geoffrey T. Sanzenbacher wrote a series of briefs that did not get enough attention.
The Center for Retirement Research found an uncomfortable rising incidence of cognitive decline and the ability to handle money. They pointed out an irony, many Americans rightly worry about not having enough money in retirement LINK but they don’t worry enough about an another element. They should be worried about having money and having the capacity to manage that money. And improving financial management capacity through financial education is very complicated. Financial education probably won’t help elders substantially succeed in the American way of saving for retirement which requires people to have and manage huge sums of money right at the age they are least able.
Most people with normal cognitive aging can manage their money into their 80s; but most people with a cognitive impairment – conservatively measured at about 40% of that population — will need help managing their money to prevent fraud or abuse. Assessing an investment’s potential return relative to its risk and cost and discerning information from the nice man on the phone worried about your Amazon Account takes a very savvy person.
Medical researchers get it, or got it once. The Journal of American Medicine (JAMA) published studies on cognitive impairment and money management back in 2011. But researcher – perhaps in academia and the government — need to link money management and brain health and make that research a priority.
INCIDENCE OF COGNITIVE DECLINE AND FINANCIAL FRAUD
As the population ages more people will be in their high-risk cognitive decline years. According to the Alzheimer Association, the oldest baby-boom generation (Americans born between 1946 and 1964) turn age 75 in 2021 and 11% of those age 65 and older has Alzheimer’s dementia. Risk of cognitive decline rises with age. Almost 14% of people aged 75 to 84, and 35% of people aged 85 and older, have Alzheimer’s dementia. And pre-cognitive decline is underreported, which is scary because elders with subclinical cognitive impairment have eroded financial judgment which puts people at risk of fraud finds Professor Patricia Boyle from Rush Medical College. She found the chilling result that poor financial decisions helps predict cognitive dementia. This means people mess up their finances before anyone knows they need help.
Boyle spoke in a lively three hour closed workshop called the “Challenges in the Retirement Landscape” at the Michael Milken Institute on May 19 2020, professors and other researchers discussed inequality, insufficient funds, and inordinate risk facing America’s elders.
GOOD BAD NEWS – MOST ELDERS CAN’T BE DEFRAUDED BECAUSE THEY DONT HAVE MONEY
The system is broken by not taking into account the declining ability of people to protect their money as they age and it doesn’t help people accumulate enough money. The money people do have – especially at the low end – is not enough but it is protected because it is Social Security. My testimony to the U.S Banking Committee in March, chaired by Senator Sherrod Brown (D, Ohio) reported that half of near-retirement households (with members aged 52 or over) in the bottom half of the wealth distribution have less than $296,000 of total median wealth, including the value of their pensions and Social Security benefits. The median wealth for the middle class — those in the next 40% of the wealth distribution — is $1.02 million. Households in the top 10% have a median net wealth of over $3.2 million. One of the silver linings of this news is that most people don’t have significant retirement wealth and since Social Security is the most important source of household wealth for retirees it is mostly safe from financial fraud.
WHAT WE NEED FOR HEALTHY RETIREMENTS
Terry Fulmer, RN, PhD, president of the John A. Hartford Foundation, co–authored a compelling and comprehensive 2020 paper calling for a “Moving Toward a Global Age-Friendly Ecosystem” It helped me articulate – a do-it-yourself retirement system is not a friendly eco-system for American elders who more and more are facing cognitive decline. We need more secure pensions and trusted management. We need more research on financial security and well-being.
Economist Kevin Hassett and I have a modest proposal for a more sensible retirement asset accumulation and management system in a paper with the Economic Innovation Group. And, financial advisor superstar, Ric Edelman, has a similar plan that reduces the role of pretend that workers can accumulate enough and manage their retirement asset safely. We need a retirement system for the people we have, not the people who someday can become superstar financial wizards and savers all on their own.